The Impact of India’s Slowdown on the Commonwealth
India accounts for 26 per cent of intra-Commonwealth trade. The impact of its slowdown will be felt differently by Commonwealth countries depending on their economic links. This study uses GTAP analysis to assess the impact of India’s GDP slowdown on Commonwealth countries in 2020. It finds that the negative effects on Commonwealth trade and investment are strongest for India’s exports to LDCs and SSA, and India’s imports from developed Commonwealth countries. In addition to GTAP, a qualitative assessment indicates the products and Commonwealth countries most likely to be affected by India’s slowdown.